Tariffs: A New Twist

 

Tariffs: A New Twist

In a new twist to the ongoing tariff saga, there has been a significant legal setback for President Donald Trump. A federal court has blocked his administration's sweeping tariffs on imports, ruling that he exceeded his authority in imposing them. This decision by a three-judge panel at the U.S. Court of International Trade casts considerable doubt on a central pillar of Trump's economic agenda and has sent ripples through global financial markets and trade negotiations.

The ruling, which came in response to lawsuits filed by a coalition of small businesses and twelve U.S. states, found that Trump's use of the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to justify the tariffs was an overreach of executive power. The administration had argued that the nation's trade deficits constituted a "national emergency" that warranted the imposition of broad import taxes without direct congressional approval.

However, the court firmly disagreed, asserting that the IEEPA does not grant the President unlimited authority to impose tariffs on nearly every country. The judges emphasised that the U.S. Constitution explicitly vests the power to "lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises" with Congress, and this power is not superseded by the President's emergency powers to safeguard the economy. The court also noted that the long-standing nature of the U.S. trade deficit, which has persisted for 49 consecutive years, hardly constitutes a sudden or "unusual and extraordinary" emergency as envisioned by the IEEPA.

The tariffs in question included a 10% baseline tariff on most imports and higher "reciprocal" tariffs of up to 50% on countries with which the U.S. runs significant trade deficits. These measures, often touted by Trump as necessary to restore American manufacturing and address perceived unfair trade practices, had sparked widespread concern among economists and businesses, who warned of potential inflation, disrupted supply chains, and economic instability.

US Custom Duties have hit all time highs in recent months and a reversal could see increased fiscal concerns as the Trump administration tries to get its tax cut bill through Congress.

Source: Artorius, Bloomberg

While the ruling immediately halts the enforcement of these specific tariffs, it does not affect other Trump-era tariffs imposed under different legal authorities, such as those on steel, aluminium, and certain automotive imports. These were justified under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 following Commerce Department investigations into national security risks.

The White House has swiftly filed a notice of appeal, indicating its intent to challenge the decision, potentially all the way to the Supreme Court. White House spokesperson Kush Desai criticised the ruling, stating that it is "not for unelected judges to decide how to properly address a national emergency" and reaffirming the administration's commitment to using "every lever of executive power to address this crisis and restore American Greatness."

The court's decision has been widely welcomed by the plaintiffs, including the small businesses that argued the tariffs were severely impacting their ability to operate, and the states that challenged the levies on the grounds of executive overreach and economic harm. New York Attorney General Letitia James, whose state was among the plaintiffs, declared, "The law is clear: no president has the power to single-handedly raise taxes whenever they like."

For now, the ruling throws Trump's broad trade strategy into disarray, potentially easing tensions in ongoing trade negotiations and offering a temporary reprieve for businesses grappling with increased import costs, to which, at the time of writing, stock markets have reacted favourably. However, with an appeal underway, the long-term fate of these tariffs and the broader scope of presidential authority in trade policy remain uncertain, with the legal battle almost certainly heading to the highest court in the land.

Josh Young de Ferrer
Portfolio Manager

 
 

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